2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty-seven congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty-seven congressional districts, a two-seat increase due to the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. The primary elections were held August 14, 2012.
Redistricting
In November 2010, Florida voters passed two amendments to the Florida Constitution which would require congressional and state legislative districts to be compact and follow geographical boundaries, thereby preventing gerrymandering. Shortly after the amendments were passed, U.S. Representatives Corrine Brown and Mario Diaz-Balart filed a lawsuit asking that the amendment concerning congressional districts be declared invalid. Brown and Diaz-Balart alleged that the power to change rules for congressional redistricting lies exclusively with the state legislature, and as such cannot be changed through a referendum; however, in January 2012 a three-judge panel of the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected their arguments.
Redistricting legislation which would create one new district each in North Florida and Central Florida was passed by a committee of the Florida House of Representatives on January 27, by the full House of Representatives on February 3, and by the Florida Senate on February 9. Shortly after, the Florida Democratic Party announced it would file a lawsuit, alleging that the map violated the Fair Districts provision, which requires that maps do not intentionally favor parties or incumbents. Separately, a coalition of groups including Common Cause, the League of Women Voters and the National Council of La Raza announced it would file its own challenge on the legislation's being signed into law.
Overview
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Florida. All vote totals come from the Florida Secretary of State's website along with the individual counties' election department websites.
United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012 | |||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
Republican | 4,157,046 | 51.61% | 17 | -2 | |
Democratic | 3,678,725 | 45.67% | 10 | +4 | |
Other Parties | 219,374 | 2.72% | 0 | - | |
Totals | 8,055,145 | 100% | 27 | +2 |
District 1
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County results
Miller: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 1st district voting age population is 77.6% White (single race), 12.9% Blacks (includes multirace), 4.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5% other races Republican incumbent Jeff Miller, who had represented Florida's 1st congressional district since 2001, ran for re-election and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jeff Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Bryan, army veteran
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Calen Fretts, vice chair of the Libertarian Party of Okaloosa County
Independents
William Cleave Drummond, II ran for election as a write-in candidate.
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Jeff Miller (incumbent) | 238,440 | 69.6 | |
Democratic | Jim Bryan | 92,961 | 27.1 | |
Libertarian | Calen Fretts | 11,176 | 3.3 | |
Independent | William Cleave (write-in) | 17 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 342,594 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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County results
Southerland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 2nd district voting age population is 68.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 23.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 4.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.3% other races (non-Hispanic). Republican incumbent Steve Southerland was first elected to represent Florida's 2nd congressional district in 2010 and secured the Republican nomination unopposed.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Southerland, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Former Republican state senator Nancy Argenziano was being barred from running as a Democrat by state law, and tried to run on the Independent Party of Florida line, but ultimately withdrew.
Candidates
Nominee
- Al Lawson, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Leonard Bembry, state representative
- Alvin Peters, attorney and former chairman of the Bay County Democratic Party
- Mark Schlakman
Withdrawn
- Nancy Argenziano, former Republican state senator
- Jay Liles, activist
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson | 46,900 | 54.6 | |
Democratic | Leonard Bembry | 22,357 | 26.0 | |
Democratic | Alvin L. Peters | 11,919 | 13.9 | |
Democratic | Mark Schlakman | 4,653 | 5.4 | |
Total votes | 85,829 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Southerland (R) |
Al Lawson (D) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 8% |
Lester (D-DCCC) | September 15–17, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Southerland defeated Lawson for re-election to a second term, 53% to 47%, on November 6, 2012.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Steve Southerland (incumbent) | 175,856 | 52.7 | ||
Democratic | Al Lawson | 157,634 | 47.2 | ||
Independent | Floyd Patrick Miller (write-in) | 228 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 333,718 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
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County results
Yoho: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 3rd district voting age population is 75.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic). Republican Cliff Stearns, who had represented the 6th District since 1989, had his home in Ocala drawn into the neighboring 11th District. However, he opted to seek reelection in the 3rd, which contained more than two-thirds of his former territory.
Republican primary
Stearns was upset in the primary by Ted Yoho, a large-animal veterinarian from Gainesville.
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Yoho, veterinarian
Eliminated in primary
- James Jett, police officer
- Steve Oelrich, state senator
- Cliff Stearns, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ted Yoho | 22,273 | 34.4 | |
Republican | Cliff Stearns (incumbent) | 21,398 | 33.0 | |
Republican | Steve Oelrich | 12,329 | 19.0 | |
Republican | James Jett | 8,769 | 13.5 | |
Total votes | 64,769 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- J.R. Gaillot, policy consultant
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ted Yoho (R) |
J. R. Gaillot (D) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 31% | 13% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Ted Yoho | 204,331 | 64.7 | ||
Democratic | J. R. Gaillot | 102,468 | 32.5 | ||
Independent | Philip Dodds | 8,870 | 2.8 | ||
Total votes | 315,669 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 4
Florida's new 4th district voting age population is 74.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 12.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 6.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.9% other races (non-Hispanic). Republican incumbent Ander Crenshaw, who had represented the 4th District since 2001, ran for re-election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ander Crenshaw, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Bob Black
- Deborah Pueschel
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 46,788 | 71.9 | |
Republican | Bob Black | 11,816 | 18.1 | |
Republican | Deborah Katz Pueschel | 6,505 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 65,109 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Gary Koniz
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ander Crenshaw (incumbent) | 239,988 | 76.1 | |
Independent | Jim Klauder | 75,236 | 23.8 | |
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 246 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 315,470 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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County results
Brown: 60–70% 70–80% Kolb: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Florida's new 5th district voting age population is 49% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 36.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 10% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.1% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.7% other races (non-Hispanic). It is the successor to the former 3rd district, which has been represented by Democrat Corrine Brown since 1993.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Corrine Brown, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- LeAnne Kolb
Withdrawn
- Mike Yost, nominee for this in 2010
Libertarian primary
Gerald Nyren announced plans to run as a Libertarian Party candidate.
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Corrine Brown (incumbent) | 190,472 | 70.8 | |
Republican | LeAnne Kolb | 70,700 | 26.3 | |
Independent | Eileen Fleming | 7,978 | 3.0 | |
Independent | Bruce Raey Riggs (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 269,153 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6
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County results
DeSantis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 7th district was renumbered as the new 6th district. John Mica, who had represented the 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the neighboring 7th District, and opted to seek re-election there.
Florida's new 6th district voting age population is 82.8% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 5.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron DeSantis, Iraq War veteran, former prosecutor and future Florida governor
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Clark, member of the Jacksonville City Council
- Fred Costello, state representative
- William Billy Kogut
- Craig Miller, businessman and Vietnam War veteran
- Alec Pueschel
- Beverly Slough, chairman of St. Johns County School District Board
Declined
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Ron DeSantis | 24,132 | 38.8 | |
Republican | Fred Costello | 14,189 | 22.8 | |
Republican | Beverly Slough | 8,229 | 13.2 | |
Republican | Craig Miller | 8,113 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Richard Clark | 6,090 | 9.8 | |
Republican | Alec Pueschel | 739 | 1.2 | |
Republican | William Billy Kogut | 628 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 62,120 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Heather Beaven, former Navy cryptologist and nominee for the 7th district in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Vipin Verma, attorney
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Heather Beaven | 29,909 | 80.5 | |
Democratic | Vipin Verma | 7,253 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 37,162 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Ron DeSantis | 195,962 | 57.3 | ||
Democratic | Heather Beaven | 146,489 | 42.8 | ||
Total votes | 342,451 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
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County results
Mica: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 7th District is the successor to the old 24th District, represented by Republican Sandy Adams since 2011. John Mica, who had represented the old 7th District since 1993, had his home drawn into the new 7th. The new district voting age population is 70.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.1% non-Hispanic blacks (includes multirace), 8.1 percent Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.9 percent Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace) and 4.7% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Mica, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 6th district
Eliminated in primary
- Sandy Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 24th district
Endorsements
- Organizations
Primary results
Mica defeated Adams in the Republican primary with 61 percent of the vote.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 32,119 | 61.2 | |
Republican | Sandy Adams (incumbent) | 20,404 | 38.8 | |
Total votes | 52,523 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Kendall, social media consultant and sales manager
Eliminated in primary
- Nicholas Ruiz
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jason H. Kendall | 12,816 | 61.3 | |
Democratic | Nicholas Ruiz | 8,088 | 38.7 | |
Total votes | 20,904 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Mica (incumbent) | 185,518 | 58.7 | ||
Democratic | Jason H. Kenall | 130,479 | 41.3 | ||
Independent | Fred Marra (write-in) | 13 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 316,010 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 8
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County results
Posey: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 8th District was the successor to the 15th District, represented by Republican Bill Posey since 2009. The voting age population was 80.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7.3% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.2% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Shannon Roberts, former NASA & federal official and Cape Canaveral City Council Member
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 205,432 | 58.9 | ||
Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 130,870 | 37.5 | ||
Independent | Richard Gillmor | 12,607 | 3.6 | ||
Total votes | 348,909 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
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County results
Grayson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 9th district, an open seat located south of Orlando, is expected to favor Democrats. It contains all of Osceola County, part of Orange County (including the Orlando International Airport), and part of Polk County. The district's inhabitants voted overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama, preferring him to John McCain 60-39%. In addition, the district will contain a plurality of whites, at 43%, followed by Hispanics and blacks, who will make up 41% and 12% of the population, respectively. The new 9th district voting age population is 42.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 39.1% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.1% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.6% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Julius Melendez
- Mark Oxner, businessman
- John Quinones
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Todd Long | 12,585 | 47.3 | |
Republican | John "Q" Quinones | 7,514 | 28.3 | |
Republican | Julius Anthony Melendez | 3,983 | 15.0 | |
Republican | Mark Oxner | 2,510 | 9.4 | |
Total votes | 26,592 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Todd Long (R) |
Undecided |
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Gravis Marketing (D-Grayson) | October 11–12, 2012 | 487 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 363 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Kitchens (D-Grayson) | September 18–21, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 19% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 629 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Safe D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Safe D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Alan Grayson | 164,891 | 62.5 | ||
Republican | Todd Long | 98,856 | 37.5 | ||
Total votes | 263,747 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
District 10
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County results
Webster: 50–60% Demings: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 8th district was renumbered as the 10th district. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th district since January 2011, sort re-election. The new 10th district voting age population is 69.9% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 5.4% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Val Demings, former Chief of the Orlando Police Department and wife of the Orange County Sheriff
Declined
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
- EMILY's List
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Daniel Webster (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided |
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Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | October 11–14, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 498 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Global Strategy Group (D-DCCC) | September 22–25, 2012 | 402 | ± % | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report | Lean R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Lean R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 164,649 | 51.7 | ||
Democratic | Val Demings | 153,574 | 48.3 | ||
Independent | Naipaul Seegolam (write-in) | 46 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 318,269 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 11
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County results
Nugent: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 5th District became the 11th District. Rich Nugent, who had represented the 5th since 2011, ran for re-election in the 11th. The new 11th district voting age population is 83.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7.3% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Rich Nugent, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Werder
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Rich Nugent (incumbent) | 218,360 | 64.5 | ||
Democratic | H. David Werder | 120,303 | 35.5 | ||
Total votes | 338,663 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 12
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County results
Bilirakis : 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, most of the old 9th District became the 12th district. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the 9th District since 2007, ran for re-election in the 12th. The new 12th district voting age population is 82.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 9.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 4% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.5% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jonathan Snow, photo specialist and former teacher
Independents
John Russell, an acute care nurse practitioner, had announced prior to redistricting that he would run as an independent in the 11th District. However, after he was drawn into the 12th, he opted to seek election there.
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gus Bilirakis (R) |
Jonathan Snow (D) |
Paul Elliott (I) |
John Russell (I) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 668 | ± 5.0% | 57% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 209,604 | 63.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Michael Snow | 108,770 | 32.9 | ||
Independent | John Russell | 6,878 | 2.1 | ||
Independent | Paul Siney Elliott | 4,915 | 1.5 | ||
Total votes | 330,167 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 13
In redistricting, most of the old 10th District became the 13th District. Bill Young, who had represented the 10th and its predecessors since 1971, ran for re-election. The new 13th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 7% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.2% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bill Young, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Darren Ayres
- Madeline Vance
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | C. W. Bill Young (incumbent) | 39,395 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Darren Ayres | 10,548 | 18.5 | |
Republican | Madeline Vance | 7,049 | 12.4 | |
Total votes | 56,992 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jessica Ehrlich, attorney and former Legislative Counsel for Representatives Clay Shaw and Stephen Lynch
Withdrawn
- Nina Hayden
Declined
- Charlie Justice, former state senator and nominee for this seat in 2010
- Rick Kriseman, state representative
- Janet Long, former state representative
- Kenneth Welch, Pinellas County Commissioner
Independent
Declined
- Charlie Crist, former Governor and candidate for Senate in 2010
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program
- EMILY's List
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Young (R) |
Jessica Ehrlich (D) |
Undecided |
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StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 533 | ± 4.3% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,691 | ± 5.0% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
DCCC (D) | July 18, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Safe R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Bill Young (incumbent) | 189,605 | 57.6 | ||
Democratic | Jessica Ehrlich | 139,742 | 42.4 | ||
Total votes | 329,347 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 14
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County results
Castor: 60–70% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 11th District was renumbered as the 14th District. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the 11th since 2007, ran for re-election here. Florida's new 14th district voting age population is 46.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 24% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 24% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.8% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Evelio Otero, retired Air Force colonel
Eliminated in primary
- Eddie Adams, architect
Declined
- Michael S. Bennett, state senator
- Shawn Harrison, state representative
- Mark Sharpe, Hillsborough County Commissioner and nominee for the 11th district in 1994 and 1996
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Evelio "EJ" Otero | 12,084 | 60.3 | |
Republican | Eddie Adams | 7,953 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 20,037 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kathy Castor (D) |
EJ Otero (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,459 | ± 5.0% | 59% | 32% | 9% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 197,121 | 70.2 | ||
Republican | EJ Otero | 83,480 | 29.8 | ||
Total votes | 280,601 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 15
In redistricting, the 12th district was renumbered as the 15th district. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th district since 2011, ran for re-election. The new 15th district voting age population is 68.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
No other party put up a candidate.
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dennis Ross (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Republican hold |
District 16
In redistricting, the Florida's 13th congressional district was renumbered as the 16th district. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the 13th since 2007, ran for re-election in the 16th after deciding against running for the U.S. Senate. The new 16th district voting age population is 83.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 5.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.3% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.2% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Prior to redistricting, former state representative Keith Fitzgerald had announced he would seek the Democratic nomination to challenge Buchanan.
Candidates
Nominee
- Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Keith Fitzgerald (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 897 | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | July 18–19, 2012 | 586 | ± 4.1% | 44% | 36% | 19% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | July 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Buchanan) | March 20–21, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 58% | 36% | 6% |
SEA Polling (D-Fitzgerald) | February 12–18, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Likely R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Likely R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 187,147 | 53.6 | ||
Democratic | Keith Fitzgerald | 161,929 | 46.4 | ||
Total votes | 349,076 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 17
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County results
Rooney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The new 17th district, an open seat for a large district comprising parts of 10 South and Central Florida counties as well as parts of the Everglades watershed, is expected to favor Republicans. Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the 16th district since 2009, ran for re-election in the new 17th district. The new 17th district voting age population is 75.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 13.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.3% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Joe Arnold, member of Okeechobee County school board
Withdrawn
- Karen Diebel, former Winter Park city commissioner and candidate for the 24th district in 2010
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 37,881 | 73.2 | |
Republican | Joe Arnold | 13,871 | 26.8 | |
Total votes | 51,752 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- William Bronson, retired Delta Air Lines pilot (formerly an unsuccessful Republican candidate in Massachusetts and Georgia)
Minor parties
26-year-old Tom Baumann from Miami (who ran unsuccessful campaigns in Minnesota and in the Borough of Manhattan) ran as a write-in candidate for the Socialist Workers Party.
General election
Campaign
As of the September FEC financial reporting deadline Rooney had collected $930,248 in campaign contributions and had $564,716 on hand; the FEC had no reports on Bronson or Baumann.
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Rooney (incumbent) | 165,488 | 58.6 | ||
Democratic | William Bronson | 116,766 | 41.4 | ||
Socialist Workers | Tom Baumann (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 282,266 | 100.0 | |||
Republican win (new seat) |
District 18
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County results
Murphy: 50–60% West: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, ran for re-election in the new 18th district. The new 18th district voting age population is 74.7% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 11.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.4% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.7% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Allen West, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Crowder, Martin County Sheriff
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allen B. West (incumbent) | 45,790 | 74.4 | |
Republican | Robert L. Crowder | 15,758 | 25.6 | |
Total votes | 61,548 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Patrick Murphy, an environmental services executive, had planned to seek the Democratic nomination in the 22nd district, but announced in February 2012 that he would continue to challenge West in the 18th district.
Candidates
Nominee
- Patrick Murphy, environmental services executive
Eliminated in primary
- Jerry Buechler
- Jim Horn
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 26,791 | 79.7 | |
Democratic | Jim Horn | 3,843 | 11.4 | |
Democratic | Jerry Lee Buechler | 2,984 | 8.9 | |
Total votes | 33,618 | 100.0 |
Independents
Marilyn Davis Holloman qualified to run as a write-in. Everett Wilkinson, the chair of the South Florida Tea Party and registered to vote with no party affiliation, decided not to run.
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2012
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allen West (R) |
Patrick Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 25–26, 2012 | 631 | ± ?% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | October 16–17, 2012 | 333 | ± 5.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 16–17, 2012 | 752 | ± 3.6% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 902 | ± 3.3% | 53% | 41% | 7% |
Kimball Political Consulting (R) | September 28, 2012 | 408 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-House Majority PAC) Archived November 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine | September 26–27, 2012 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-West) | September 24–25, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 535 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 43% | 9% |
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) | August 21–24, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Frederick Polls (D-Murphy) | May 6–8, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Tilts R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Lean R | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Patrick Murphy | 166,257 | 50.3 | ||
Republican | Allen West (incumbent) | 164,353 | 49.7 | ||
Independent | Marilyn Davis Holloman (write-in) | 55 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 330,665 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 19
In redistricting, the 14th district was renumbered as the 19th district. Connie Mack IV, who had represented the 14th district since 2005, will run for the U.S. Senate rather than for re-election. The new 19th district voting age population is 77.1% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 14.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Trey Radel, conservative radio talk show host
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Aubuchon, state representative
- Joe Davidow, attorney
- Byron Donalds, banker
- Chauncey Goss, son of former Director of Central Intelligence Porter Goss
- Paige Kreegel, state representative
Withdrawn
- Timothy John Rossano
Declined
- Dudley Goodlette, state representative
- Tom Grady, commissioner of the Florida Office of Financial Regulation
- Tammy Hall, Lee County Commissioner
- Ray Judah, Lee County Commissioner
- Jeff Kottkamp, former Lieutenant Governor of Florida
- Ray Price, member of the Naples City Council
- Garrett Richter, state senator
- Burt Saunders, former state senator
- John Sawyer, state representative
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 22,304 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Chauncey Porter Goss | 16,005 | 21.5 | |
Republican | Paige Kreegel | 13,167 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Gary Aubuchon | 11,498 | 15.5 | |
Republican | Byron Donalds | 10,389 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Joe Davidow | 1,028 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 74,391 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James Roach, retired GM research engineer, decorated Vietnam combat veteran and nominee for the 14th district in 2010
Independents
Brandon Smith was on the general election ballot as an independent candidate.
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Trey Radel | 189,833 | 62.0 | ||
Democratic | Jim Roach | 109,746 | 35.8 | ||
Independent | Brandon M. Smith | 6,637 | 2.2 | ||
Total votes | 306,216 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 20
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County results
Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 23rd District was renumbered as the 20th District. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the 23rd since 1993, ran for reelection—in effect, trading district numbers with fellow Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz. The new 20th district voting age population is 49.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 35.5% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.3% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Withdrawn
- Bernard Sansaricq, former president of the Senate of Haiti and nominee for this seat in 2010
Independents
- Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 214,727 | 87.9 | ||
Independent | Randall Terry | 29,553 | 12.1 | ||
Independent | Anthony M. Dutrow (write-in) | 5 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 244,285 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 21
In redistricting, most of the old 19th District became the 21st District. Ted Deutch, who had represented the 19th district since April 2010, ran for re-election The new 21st district voting age population is 66.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.6% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 10.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 4.5% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Independents
Cesar Augusto Henao Cañas was an independent candidate.
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 221,263 | 77.8 | ||
Independent | W. Michael (Mike) Trout | 37,776 | 13.3 | ||
Independent | Cesar Henao | 25,361 | 8.9 | ||
Total votes | 284,400 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 22
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County results
Frankel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican Allen West, who was first elected to represent Florida's 22nd congressional district in 2010, sought re-election in the new 18th district. The new 22nd district voting age population is 69.4% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.2% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 9.8% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 0.6% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Hasner, former majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives
Declined
- Chip LaMarca, Broward County Commissioner
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lois Frankel, former mayor of West Palm Beach, Florida
Eliminated in primary
- Kristin Jacobs, Broward County Commissioner
Declined
- John Rodstrom, Broward County Commissioner
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 18,483 | 61.4 | |
Democratic | Kristin Jacobs | 11,644 | 38.6 | |
Total votes | 30,127 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Majority Makers" Program
- EMILY's List
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Hasner (R) |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone-Liszt (D-Frankel) | October 18–21, 2012 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 15–16, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Sunshine State News/VSS | October 14–16, 2012 | 750 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
DCCC (D) | October 10, 2012 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 13% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
StPetePolls | September 1–3, 2012 | 1,054 | ± 5.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Likely D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel | 171,021 | 54.6 | ||
Republican | Adam Hasner | 142,050 | 45.4 | ||
Total votes | 313,071 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 23
In redistricting, the 20th District was renumbered as the 23rd District. DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz who had represented the 20th since 2005, ran for re-election. The new 23rd district voting age population is 48.9% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 17.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 1.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 3.1% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Karen Harrington, businesswoman and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Gineen Bresso
- Ozzie deFaria, businessman
- Juan Eliel Garcia
- Joseph Kaufman, Americans Against Hate founder
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Karen Harrington | 8,043 | 47.8 | |
Republican | Joe Kaufman | 3,383 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Ozzie deFaria | 2,356 | 14.0 | |
Republican | Juan Eliel Garcia | 1,674 | 9.9 | |
Republican | Gineen Bresso | 1,380 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 16,836 | 100.0 |
General election
Endorsements
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 174,205 | 63.2 | ||
Republican | Karen Harrington | 98,096 | 35.6 | ||
Independent | Ilya Katz | 3,129 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 275,430 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 24
In redistricting, most of the old 17th District was renumbered as the 24th District. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the 17th since 2011, sought reelection. The new 24th district voting age population was 51.7% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 29.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 12.6% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 3.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.5% other races (non-Hispanic).
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Rudy Moise, doctor and candidate for this seat in 2010
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 42,807 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Rudolph Moise | 21,680 | 33.6 | |
Total votes | 64,487 | 100.0 |
General election
Wilson was unopposed in the general election.
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
District 25
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County results
Diaz-Balart: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the 21st district was renumbered as the 25th district. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart, who had represented the 21st district since 2011, ran for re-election. The new 25th district voting age population is 68.9% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 21.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.7% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.1% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mario Diaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative
General election
Endorsements
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) | 151,466 | 75.6 | ||
Independent | Stanley Blumenthal | 31,664 | 15.8 | ||
Independent | VoteForEddie.com | 17,099 | 8.5 | ||
Total votes | 200,229 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 26
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County results
Garcia: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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In redistricting, the old 25th District was renumbered as the 26th district. Republican David Rivera, who had represented the 25th since 2011, ran for reelection. The new 26th district voting age population is 67.4% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 20.2% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 8.6% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 1.5% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2.4% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Rivera, incumbent U.S. Representative
Declined
- Carlos Curbelo, political consultant
- Anitere Flores, state senator
- Juan-Carlos Planas, former state representative
- Miguel Diaz de la Portilla, state senator
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joe Garcia, attorney, activist and nominee for this seat in 2010
Eliminated in primary
- Gustavo Marin, nonprofit consultant, university professor, and political analyst
- Gloria Romero Roses, managing partner at Nexus Homes
- Lamar Sternad, hotel auditor
Declined
- Luis Garcia, state representative
- Annette Taddeo, businesswoman and nominee for the 18th district in 2008
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 13,927 | 53.4 | |
Democratic | Gloria Romero Roses | 8,027 | 30.8 | |
Democratic | Lamar Sternad | 2,856 | 10.9 | |
Democratic | Gustavo Marin | 1,286 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 26,096 | 100.0 |
General election
Campaign
Due to redistricting and constitutional amendments passed in 2010 restricting gerrymandering, the race was considered a toss-up. While the old 25th leaned Republican, the new district was split narrowly in half between Republicans and Democrats.
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democracy for America
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
Polling
Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
David Rivera (R) |
Joe Garcia (D) |
Angel Fernandez (I) |
José Peixoto (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson (D-DCCC) | October 9–11, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 35% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
StPetePolls | October 3–5, 2012 | 473 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 41% | 2% | 3% | 12% |
NORS (R-Rivera) | September 13–19, 2012 | 422 | ± ?% | 44% | 38% | — | — | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Democracy for America) | September 12–13, 2012 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 46% | — | — | 16% |
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC/SEIU) | September 8–13, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | — | — | 9% |
Benenson (D-Garcia) | August 20–22, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | — | — | 11% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call | Lean D (flip) | November 17, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | December 12, 2012 |
NY Times | Tossup | November 4, 2012 |
RCP | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill | Likely D (flip) | November 4, 2012 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Garcia | 135,694 | 53.6 | ||
Republican | David Rivera (incumbent) | 108,820 | 43.0 | ||
Independent | Angel Fernandez | 5,726 | 2.3 | ||
Independent | José Peixoto | 2,717 | 1.1 | ||
Total votes | 252,957 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
District 27
In redistricting, the old 18th District was renumbered as the 27th District. Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the 18th since 1989, will run for re-election. The new 27th district voting age population is 72.8% Hispanic (excludes Hispanic Blacks), 17.5% non-Hispanic Whites (single race), 5.5% non-Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), 2.2% Hispanic Blacks (includes multirace), and 2% other races (non-Hispanic).
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Manny Yevancey
Withdrawn
- Patrick Post
General election
Endorsements
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent) | 138,488 | 60.2 | ||
Democratic | Manny Yevancey | 85,020 | 36.9 | ||
Independent | Thomas Joe Cruz-Wiggins | 6,663 | 2.9 | ||
Total votes | 230,171 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |